Martha Liliana Carreño, Omar-Darío Cardona, Alex H. Barbat, Dora Catalina Suarez, María del Pilar Perez, Lizardo Narvaez. Holistic Disaster Risk Evaluation for the Urban Risk Management Plan of Manizales, Colombia[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2017, 8(3): 258-269. doi: 10.1007/s13753-017-0136-7
Citation: Martha Liliana Carreño, Omar-Darío Cardona, Alex H. Barbat, Dora Catalina Suarez, María del Pilar Perez, Lizardo Narvaez. Holistic Disaster Risk Evaluation for the Urban Risk Management Plan of Manizales, Colombia[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2017, 8(3): 258-269. doi: 10.1007/s13753-017-0136-7

Holistic Disaster Risk Evaluation for the Urban Risk Management Plan of Manizales, Colombia

doi: 10.1007/s13753-017-0136-7
Funds:

and mainstreaming risk into planning, and to improve risk awareness in the city of Manizales, Colombia. The authors also express their gratitude for the support of the Ministry of Education and Science of Spain "Evaluación de la Vulnerabilidad y el Riesgo de Zonas Urbanas Expuestas a Amenazas Naturales y Antrópicas-EZUANA" (BIA2016-78544-R).

This work was carried out within the framework of the inter-institutional agreement between the Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Manizales headquarters, and the Corporación Autónoma Regional de Caldas (CORPOCALDAS)-the regional environmental authority, to improve information systems for risk knowledge and understanding

monitoring of hazard events and warning systems

  • Available Online: 2021-04-26
  • Disaster risk depends on both the physical vulnerability and a wide range of social, economic, and environmental aspects of a society. For a better risk understanding, a holistic or integrated perspective was considered when risk was assessed for the city of Manizales, Colombia. This assessment accounts not only for the expected physical damage and loss, but also for the socioeconomic vulnerability factors that favor secondorder effects in a disaster. This comprehensive approach allows the identification of different aspects related to physical vulnerability, social fragility, and lack of resilience that can be improved, thus enhancing integrated disaster risk management actions. The outcomes of this comprehensive assessment are currently being used as input to update the disaster risk management plan of Manizales.
  • loading
  • Alcaldía de Manizales. 2016a. Municipal plan for disaster risk management of Manizales (Plan municipal de gestión del riesgo de desastres del municipio de Manizales). Decree 415, 23 August 2016 (in Spanish).
    Alcaldía de Manizales. 2016b. Municipal strategy for emergency response of Manizales (Estrategia municipal para la respuesta a emergencias de Manizales). Decree 416, 23 August 2016 (in Spanish).
    Barbat, A.H., M.L. Carreño, O.D. Cardona, and M.C. Marulanda. 2011. Holistic assessment of seismic risk in urban areas. Revista Internacional de Metodos Numericos para Calculo y Diseño en Ingenieria 27(1):3-27 (in Spanish).
    Barbat, A.H., M.L. Carreño, L.G. Pujades, N. Lantada, O.D. Cardona, and M.C. Marulanda. 2010. Seismic vulnerability and risk evaluation methods for urban areas. A review with application to a pilot area. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering 6(4):499.
    Bernal, G.A. 2014. Multi-hazard modelling of disaster risk in Manizales (Modelación multiamenaza del riesgo de desastes en Manizales). Technical report. Gestión del Riesgo-Manizales. Manizales:Corporación Autónoma Regional de Caldas (CORPOCALDAS). http://www.gestiondelriesgomanizales.com/Documentos/Informes/69-Modelaci%C3%B3nMultiamenazaRiesgoMzles-GabrielBernal.pdf. Accessed 13 Jul 2017 (in Spanish).
    Bernal, G.A., M.A. Salgado-Gálvez, D. Zuloaga, J. Tristancho, D. González, and O.D. Cardona. 2017. Integration of probabilistic and multi-hazard risk assessment within urban development planning and emergency preparedness and response:Application to Manizales, Colombia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 8(3). doi: 10.1007/s13753-017-0135-8.
    Birkman, J., O.D. Cardona, M.L. Carreño, A.H. Barbat, M. Pelling, S. Schneiderbauer, and T. Welle. 2013. Framing vulnerability, risk and societal responses:The MOVE framework. Natural Hazards 67(2):193-211.
    Cárdenas, J.R.G., A. Nebot, F. Mugica, M.L. Carreño, and A.H. Barbat. 2015. Social aggravation estimation to seismic hazard using classical fuzzy methods. In Simulation and modeling methodologies, technologies and applications, ed. M.S. Obaidat, T. Őren, J. Kacprzyk, and J. Filipe, 275-293. New York:Springer.
    Cardona, O.D. 2001. Holistic evaluation of the seismic risk by using dynamic complex systems (Estimación holística del riesgo sísmico utilizando sistemas dinámicos complejos). Doctoral thesis, Universidad Politécnica de Cataluña, Barcelona (in Spanish).
    Cardona, O.D. 2004a. The need for rethinking the concepts of vulnerability and risk from a holistic perspective:A necessary review and criticism for effective risk management. In Mapping vulnerability:Disasters, development and people, ed. G. Bankoff, G. Frerks, and D. Hilhorst, 37-51. London:Earthscan Publishers.
    Cardona, O.D. 2004b. Curriculum adaptation and disaster prevention in Colombia. In International perspectives on natural disasters:Occurrence, mitigation and consequence, ed. J.P. Stolman, J. Lidstone, and L.M. DeChano, 397-408. Dordrecht, Netherlands:Kluwer Academic Publishers.
    Cardona, O.D. 2011. Disaster risk and vulnerability:Notions and measurement of human and environmental insecurity. In Coping with global environmental change, disasters and security:Threats, challenges, vulnerabilities and risks, ed. H.G. Brauch, U. Oswald Spring, C. Mesjasz, J. Grin, P. Kameri-Mbote, B. Chourou, P. Dunay, and J. Birkmann, 107-121. Berlin, Heidelberg, and New York:Springer-Verlag.
    Cardona, O.D, M.G. Ordaz, E. Reinoso, L.E. Yamín, and A.H. Barbat. 2012. CAPRA-Comprehensive approach to probabilistic risk assessment:International initiative for risk management effectiveness. In Proceedings of the 15th World Conference in Earthquake Engineering, 24-28 September 2012, Lisbon, Portugal. http://www.nicee.org/wcee/. Accessed 4 Jul 2017.
    Carreño M.L. 2006. Innovative techniques for seismic risk assessment and management in urban centers:Ex ante and ex post actions (Técnicas innovadoras para la evaluación del riego sísmico y su gestión en centros urbanos:Acciones ex ante y ex post). Doctoral thesis, Universidad Politécnica de Cataluña, Barcelona, Spain (in Spanish).
    Carreño, M.L. 2015. Evaluation of the social fragility and lack of resilience for the city of Manizales (Evaluación de la fragilidad social y la falta de resiliencia, en la ciudad de Manizales). Technical report. Gestión del Riesgo-Manizales. Manizales:Corporación Autónoma Regional de Caldas (CORPOCALDAS). http://www.gestiondelriesgomanizales.com/Documentos/Informes/68-Informe%20Ev%20Holistica%20Manizales%202016%20V2.pdf. Accessed 13 Jul 2017 (in Spanish).
    Carreño, M.L, O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2004. Methodology for the performance evaluation of the disaster risk management (Metodología para la evaluación del desempeño de la gestión del riesgo). Monography CIMNE IS-51, Universidad Politécnica de Cataluña, Barcelona (in Spanish).
    Carreño, M.L., A.H. Barbat, and O.D. Cardona. 2014a. Numerical method for the holistic evaluation of the seismic risk based on the fuzzy sets theory. Revista Internacional de Metodos Numericos para Calculo y Diseño en Ingenieria 30(1):25-34 (in Spanish).
    Carreño, M.L., A.H. Barbat, O.D.Cardona, and M.C. Marulanda. 2014b. Holistic Evaluation of Seismic Risk in Barcelona. In Assessment of vulnerability to natural hazards:A European perspective, ed. D. Alexander, J. Birkmann, and S. Kienberger, 21-52. Oxford:Elsevier.
    Carreño, M.L, O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2007a. A disaster risk management performance index. Natural Hazards 41(1):1-20.
    Carreño, M.L., O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2007b. Urban seismic risk evaluation:A holistic approach. Natural Hazards 40(1):137-172.
    Carreño, M.L., O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2012. New methodology for urban seismic risk assessment from a holistic perspective. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering 10(2):547-565.
    ERN-AL (Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales-América Latina). 2011. Probabilistic modeling of disaster risk at global level:Development of a methodology and implementation of case studies. Phase 1A:Colombia, México and Nepal. Background paper prepared for the 2011 global assessment report on disaster risk reduction. Geneva:UNISDR. http://www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/gar/2011/en/home/annexes.html. Accessed 4 Jul 2017.
    Jaramillo, N., M.L. Carreño, and N. Lantada. 2016. Evaluation of social context integrated into the study of seismic risk for urban areas. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 17:185-198.
    Khazai B., F. Bendimerad, O.D. Cardona, M.L. Carreño, A.H. Barbat, and C.G. Burton. 2015. A guide to measuring urban risk resilience:Principles, tools and practice of urban indicators. Quezon, Philippines:Earthquake Megacities Initiative.
    Lantada, N., J. Irizarry, A.H. Barbat, X. Goula, A. Roca, T. Susagna, and L.G. Pujades. 2010. Seismic hazard and risk scenarios for Barcelona, Spain, using the Risk-UE vulnerability index method. Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering 8(2):201-229.
    Marulanda, M.C., O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2009. Robustness of the holistic seismic risk evaluation in urban centers using the USRi. Natural Hazards 49(3):501-516.
    Marulanda, M.C., O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2010. Revealing the socio-economic impact of small disasters in Colombia using DesInventar database. Disasters 34(2):552-570.
    Marulanda, M.C., M.L. Carreño, O.D. Cardona, M.G. Ordaz, A.H. Barbat. 2013. Probabilistic earthquake risk assessment using CAPRA:Application to the city of Barcelona, Spain. Natural Hazards 69(1):59-84.
    Saaty, T. 1980. The analytic hierarchy process. New York:McGraw-Hill.
    Salgado-Gálvez, M.A., D. Zuloaga, C.A. Velásquez, M.L. Carreño, O.D. Cardona, and A.H. Barbat. 2016. Urban seismic risk index for Medellin, Colombia, based on probabilistic loss and casualties estimations. Natural Hazards 80(3):1995-2021.
    SISBEN (Sistema de Identificación de Potenciales Beneficiarios de Programas Sociales). Database of national government to provide subsidies to low-income people 2011. SISBEN, Manizales, Colombia.
    Suarez, D.C. 2007. Development of risk and risk management indicators at urban level for diagnosis and planning in Manizales (Desarrollo de indicadores de riesgo y gestión del riesgo a nivel urbano para el diagnóstico y planificación en Manizales). Master thesis, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Manizales (in Spanish).
    Suárez, D.C. 2015. Vulnerability information analysis for the city of Manizales (Análisis de información de vulnerabilidad en la ciudad de Manizales). Technical report. Gestión del Riesgo-Manizales. Manizales:Corporación Autónoma Regional de Caldas (CORPOCALDAS) (in Spanish).
    UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction). 2009. Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction:Risk and poverty in a changing climate. Geneva:UNISDR.
    UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction). 2011. GAR2011:Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction:Revealing risk, redefining development. Geneva:UNISDR.
    UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction). 2013. GAR2013:Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction:From shared risk to shared value; the business case for disaster risk reduction. Geneva:UNISDR.
    Velásquez, C.A., O.D. Cardona, M.G. Mora, L.E. Yamin, M.L. Carreño, and A.H. Barbat. 2014. Hybrid loss exceedance curve (HLEC) for disaster risk assessment. Natural Hazards 72(2):455-479.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (1) PDF downloads(0) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return