Xiaolu Li, Nina Lam, Yi Qiang, Kenan Li, Lirong Yin, Shan Liu, Wenfeng Zheng. Measuring County Resilience After the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2016, 7(4): 393-412. doi: 10.1007/s13753-016-0109-2
Citation: Xiaolu Li, Nina Lam, Yi Qiang, Kenan Li, Lirong Yin, Shan Liu, Wenfeng Zheng. Measuring County Resilience After the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2016, 7(4): 393-412. doi: 10.1007/s13753-016-0109-2

Measuring County Resilience After the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake

doi: 10.1007/s13753-016-0109-2
Funds:

This article is partially based on work supported by the US National Science Foundation (Award number 1212112) and the Louisiana Sea Grant program, the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2016M592647), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 61305022), and the Opening Fund of State Key Laboratory of Virtual Reality Technology and Systems (Beihang University) (Grant No. BUAA-VR-16KF-11). Views, findings, conclusions, and recommendations expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the funding agencies.

  • Available Online: 2021-04-26
  • The catastrophic earthquake that struck Sichuan Province, China, in 2008 caused serious damage to Wenchuan County and surrounding areas in southwestern China. In recent years, great attention has been paid to the resilience of the affected area. This study applied the resilience inference measurement (RIM) model to quantify and validate the community resilience of 105 counties in the impacted area. The RIM model uses cluster analysis to classify counties into four resilience levels according to the exposure, damage, and recovery conditions. The model then applies discriminant analysis to quantify the influence of socioeconomic characteristics on the county’s resilience. Analysis results show that counties located at the epicenter had the lowest resilience, but counties immediately adjacent to the epicenter had the highest resilience capacities. Counties that were farther away from the epicenter returned to normal resiliency quickly. Socioeconomic variables—including sex ratio, per capita GDP, percent of ethnic minority, and medical facilities—were identified as the most influential characteristics influencing resilience. This study provides useful information to improve county resilience to earthquakes and support decision making for sustainable development.
  • loading
  • Adger, W.N., K. Brown, and D. Conway. 2010. Progress in global environmental change. Global Environmental Change 20(4): 547–549.
    Bevington, J.S., A.A. Hill, R.A. Davidson, S.E. Chang, A. Vicini, B.J. Adams, and R.T. Eguchi. 2011. Measuring, monitoring, and evaluating post-disaster recovery: A key element in understanding community resilience. In Proceedings of ASCE Structures Congress 2011, ed. D. Ames, T.L. Droessler, and M. Hoit, 2033–2043. Reston, VA: American Society of Civil Engineers.
    Boruff, B.J., C. Emrich, and S.L. Cutter. 2005. Erosion hazard vulnerability of US coastal counties. Journal of Coastal Research 21(5): 932–942.
    Brooks, N., W.N. Adger, and P.M. Kelly. 2005. The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation. Global Environmental Change 15(2): 151–163.
    Bruneau, M., S.E. Chang, R.T. Eguchi, G.C. Lee, T.D. O’Rourke, A.M. Reinhorn, M. Shinozuka, K. Tierney, W.A. Wallace, and D. von Winterfeldt. 2003. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities. Earthquake Spectra 19(4): 733–752.
    Bruneau, M., and A.M. Reinhorn. Overview of the resilience concept. In Proceedings of the 8th U. S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, 18–22 April, 2006, San Francisco, California, USA.
    Cao, Z., T.L. Youd, and X. Yuan. 2011. Gravelly soils that liquefied during 2008 Wenchuan, China Earthquake, Ms = 8.0. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 31(8): 1132–1143.
    CEA (China Earthquake Administration). 2008. Seismic intensity map of the Ms 8.0 Wenchuan Earthquake. http://www.cea.gov.cn/manage/html/8a8587881632fa5c0116674a018300cf/content/08_09/01/1220238314350.html. Accessed 27 May 2015.
    Chang, S.E. 2010. Urban disaster recovery: A measurement framework and its application to the 1995 Kobe earthquake. Disasters 34(2): 303–327.
    Chang, S.E., and M. Shinozuka. 2004. Measuring improvements in the disaster resilience of communities. Earthquake Spectra 20(3): 739–755.
    Chen, G., F. Ji, R. Zhou, J. Xu, B. Zhou, X. Li, and Y. Ye. 2007. Primary research of activity segmentation of Longmenshan fault zone since late-quaternary. Seismology and Geology 29(3): 657–673 (in Chinese).
    Cho, S., P. Gordon, J.E.I. Moore, H.W. Richardson, M. Shinozuka, and S. Chang. 2001. Integrating transportation network and regional economic models to estimate the costs of a large urban earthquake. Journal of Regional Science 41(1): 39–65.
    Cutter, S.L., K.D. Ash, and C.T. Emrich. 2014. The geographies of community disaster resilience. Global Environmental Change 29: 65–77.
    Cutter, S.L., L. Barnes, M. Berry, C. Burton, E. Evans, E. Tate, and J. Webb. 2008. A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters. Global Environmental Change 18(4): 598–606.
    Cutter, S.L., B.J. Boruff, and W.L. Shirley. 2003. Social vulnerability to environmental hazards. Social Science Quarterly 84(2): 242–261.
    Cutter, S.L., C.G. Burton, and C.T. Emrich. 2010. Disaster resilience indicators for benchmarking baseline conditions. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management 7(1): 1271–1283.
    Dai, F.C., C. Xu, X. Yao, L. Xu, X.B. Tu, and Q.M. Gong. 2011. Spatial distribution of landslides triggered by the 2008 Ms 8.0 Wenchuan earthquake, China. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 40(4): 883–895.
    Eiby, G.A. 1966. The Modified Mercalli scale of earthquake intensity and its use in new Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 9(1–2): 122–129.
    Fekete, A. 2009. Validation of a social vulnerability index in context to river-floods in Germany. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 9(2): 393–403.
    Finch, C., C.T. Emrich, and S.L. Cutter. 2010. Disaster disparities and differential recovery in New Orleans. Population and Environment 31(4): 179–202.
    Folk, C., S. Carpenter, T. Elmqvist, L. Gunderson, C.S. Holling, B. Walker, J. Bengtsson, K. Berkes, J. Colding, K. Danell, and M. Falkenmark. 2002. Resilience and development: Building adaptive capacity in a world of transformations. ICSU series on science for sustainable development: Resilience and sustainable development. Stockholm: International Council for Science.
    Fu, B., P. Shi, H. Guo, S. Okuyama, Y. Ninomiya, and S. Wright. 2011. Surface deformation related to the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, and mountain building of the Longmen Shan, Eastern Tibetan Plateau. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 40(4): 805–824.
    Gansu Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2003. Gansu statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Gansu Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2009. Gansu statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Gansu Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2012. Gansu statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Gorum, T., X. Fan, C.J. van Westen, R.Q. Huang, Q. Xu, C. Tang, and G. Wang. 2011. Distribution pattern of earthquake-induced landslides triggered by the 12 May 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. Geomorphology 133(3–4): 152–167.
    Guha-Sapir, D., R. Below, Ph. Hoyois. 2015. EM-DAT: The Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters/Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (CRED/OFDA) International Disaster Database. Université Catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium. http://www.emdat.be. Accessed 27 May 2015.
    Guo, Y. 2012. Urban resilience in post-disaster reconstruction: Towards a resilient development in Sichuan, China. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 3(1): 45–55.
    Guo, D., and M. Hamada. 2013. Qualitative and quantitative analysis on landslide influential factors during Wenchuan earthquake: A case study in Wenchuan County. Engineering Geology 152(1): 202–209.
    Hartigan, J.A., and M.A. Wong. 1979. A K-means clustering algorithm. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C (Applied Statistics) 28(1): 100–108.
    Holling, C.S. 1996. Engineering resilience versus ecological resilience. In Engineering within ecological constraints, ed. P.C. Schulze, 31–44. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
    Klecka, W.R. 1980. Discriminant analysis. Quantitative applications in the social sciences series. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications.
    Lam, N.S.N., H. Arenas, P.L. Brito, and K.B. Liu. 2014. Assessment of vulnerability and adaptive capacity to coastal hazards in the Caribbean Region. Journal of Coastal Research 70(sp1): 473–478.
    Lam, N.S.N., H. Arenas, K. Pace, J. LeSage, and R. Campanella. 2012. Predictors of business return in New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina. PLoS ONE 7(10): e47935. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0047935..
    Lam, N.S.N., K. Pace, R. Campanella, J. Lesage, and H. Arenas. 2009. Business return in New Orleans: Decision making amid post-Katrina uncertainty. PLoS ONE 4(8): e6765. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0006765.
    Lam, N.S.N., Y. Qiang, H. Arenas, P. Brito, and K.B. Liu. 2015b. Mapping and assessing coastal resilience in the Caribbean Region. Cartography and Geographic Information Science 42(4): 315–322.
    Lam, N.S.N., M. Reams, K. Li, C. Li, and L.P. Mata. 2015a. Measuring community resilience to coastal hazards along the Northern Gulf of Mexico. Natural Hazards Review 17(1): 04015013. doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000193.
    Li, K. 2011. Temporal changes of coastal community resilience in the Gulf of Mexico Region. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Louisiana State University.
    Li, C. 2013. Community resilience to coastal hazards: An analysis of two geographical scales in Louisiana. Baton Rouge, Louisiana: Louisiana State University.
    Li, W., C.A. Airriess, A.C.-C. Chen, K.J. Leong, and V. Keith. 2010. Katrina and migration: Evacuation and return by African Americans and Vietnamese Americans in an Eastern New Orleans suburb. The Professional Geographer 62(1): 103–118.
    Li, K., N.S.N. Lam, Y. Qiang, L. Zou, and H. Cai. 2005. A cyberinfrastructure for community resilience assessment and visualization. Cartographic and Geographic Information Science 42(sup1): 34–39.
    Li, X., L. Wang, and S. Liu. 2016. Geographical analysis of seismic hazard resilience in Southwest China. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 7(3): 257–276.
    Li, H., H. Wang, Z. Xu, J. Si, J. Pei, T. Li, Y. Huang, S. Song, L. Kuo, Z. Sun, M.-L. Chevalier, and D. Liu. 2013. Characteristics of the fault-related rocks, fault zones and the principal slip zone in the Wenchuan Earthquake Fault Scientific Drilling Project Hole-1 (WFSD-1). Tectonophysics 584(22 January): 23–42.
    Nalbant, S.S., and J. McCloskey. 2011. Stress evolution before and after the 2008 Wenchuan, China earthquake. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 307(1): 222–232.
    National Bureau of Statistics of the People’s Republic of China. 2001. Tabulation of the 2000 population census of the People’s Republic of China. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Nelson, E., G. Mendoza, J. Regetz, S. Polasky, H. Tallis, D. Cameron, K.M.A. Chan, G.C. Daily, J. Goldstein, P.M. Kareiva, E. Lonsdorf, R. Naidoo, T.H. Ricketts, and M. Shaw. 2009. Modelling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity conservation, commodity production, and tradeoffs at landscape scales. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 7(1): 4–11.
    NOAA (U.S. National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration). National Climate Data Center database. 2015. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access. Accessed 27 May 2015.
    Norris, F.H., S.P. Stevens, B. Pfefferbaum, K.F. Wyche, and R.L. Pfefferbaum. 2008. Community resilience as a metaphor, theory, set of capacities, and strategy for disaster readiness. American Journal of Community Psychology 41(1–2): 127–150.
    NRC (National Research Council). 2012. Disaster resilience: A national imperative. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
    Peduzzi, P., H. Dao, C. Herold, and F.Mouton. 2009. Assessing global exposure and vulnerability towards natural hazards: The disaster risk index. Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Science 9(4): 1149–1159.
    Perreault Jr, W.D., D.N. Behrman, and G.M. Armstrong. 1979. Alternative approaches for interpretation of multiple discriminant analysis in marketing research. Journal of Business Research 7(2): 151–173.
    Ran, Y., W. Chen, X. Xu, L. Chen, H. Wang, C.-C. Yang, and S. Dong. 2013. Paleoseismic events and recurrence interval along the Beichuan–Yingxiu fault of Longmenshan fault zone, Yingxiu, Sichuan, China. Tectonophysics 584: 81–90.
    Reams, M. A., N.S.N. Lam, and A. Baker. 2012. Measuring capacity for resilience among coastal counties of the U.S. Northern Gulf of Mexico Region. American Journal of Climate Change 1(4): 194–204.
    Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2003. Shaanxi statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2009. Shaanxi statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2012. Shaanxi statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Shan, B., X. Xiong, R. Wang, Y. Zheng, and S. Yang. 2013. Coulomb stress evolution along Xianshuihe–Xiaojiang fault system since 1713 and its interaction with Wenchuan earthquake, May 12, 2008. Earth and Planetary Science Letters 377–378: 199–210.
    Shan, W. 2010. Comparing ethnic minorities and Han Chinese in China: Life satisfaction, economic well being and political attitudes. East Asian Policy 2(2): 13–22.
    Sichuan Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2003. Sichuan statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Sichuan Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2009. Sichuan statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    Sichuan Provincial Bureau of Statistics. 2012. Sichuan statistical yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
    State Council of the People’s Republic of China. 2010. Report on the work of the government. Beijing, China. http://www.gov.cn/english/official/2010-03/15/content_1556124.htm. Accessed 27 May 2015.
    Tang, C., J. Zhu, X. Qi, and J. Ding. 2011. Landslides induced by the Wenchuan earthquake and the subsequent strong rainfall event: A case study in the Beichuan area of China. Engineering Geology 122(1): 22–33.
    Tang, C., J. Zhu, M. Chang, J. Ding, and X. Qi. 2012. An empirical–statistical model for predicting debris-flow runout zones in the Wenchuan earthquake area. Quaternary International 250: 63–73.
    Tate, E. 2012. Social vulnerability indices: A comparative assessment using uncertainty and sensitivity analysis. Natural Hazards 63(2): 325–347.
    USGS (United States Geological Survey). 2008. Magnitude 7.9—Eastern Sichuan, China. U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake Hazards Program. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eqinthenews/2008/us2008ryan/. Accessed 27 May 2015.
    Xu, C., X. Xu, F. Dai, and A.K. Saraf. 2012. Comparison of different models for susceptibility mapping of earthquake triggered landslides related with the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in China. Computers & Geosciences 46: 317–329.
    Zheng, G., S. Xu, S. Liang, P. Shi, and J. Zhao. 2013. Gas emission from the Qingzhu River after the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, Southwest China. Chemical Geology 339: 187–193.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (97) PDF downloads(0) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return