Volume 15 Issue 1
Feb.  2024
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Hengxu Jin, Yu Zhao, Pengcheng Lu, Shuliang Zhang, Yiwen Chen, Shanghua Zheng, Zhizhou Zhu. Using Machine Learning to Identify and Optimize Sensitive Parameters in Urban Flood Model Considering Subsurface Characteristics[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2024, 15(1): 116-133. doi: 10.1007/s13753-024-00540-2
Citation: Hengxu Jin, Yu Zhao, Pengcheng Lu, Shuliang Zhang, Yiwen Chen, Shanghua Zheng, Zhizhou Zhu. Using Machine Learning to Identify and Optimize Sensitive Parameters in Urban Flood Model Considering Subsurface Characteristics[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2024, 15(1): 116-133. doi: 10.1007/s13753-024-00540-2

Using Machine Learning to Identify and Optimize Sensitive Parameters in Urban Flood Model Considering Subsurface Characteristics

doi: 10.1007/s13753-024-00540-2
Funds:

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 42271483, 42071364) and the Postgraduate Research &

amp

Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province (Grant No. KYCX23_1696). We would like to thank Editage for English language editing.

  • Accepted Date: 2024-01-21
  • Available Online: 2024-03-14
  • Publish Date: 2024-02-21
  • This study presents a novel method for optimizing parameters in urban flood models, aiming to address the tedious and complex issues associated with parameter optimization. First, a coupled one-dimensional pipe network runoff model and a two-dimensional surface runoff model were integrated to construct an interpretable urban flood model. Next, a principle for dividing urban hydrological response units was introduced, incorporating surface attribute features. The K-means algorithm was used to explore the clustering patterns of the uncertain parameters in the model, and an artificial neural network (ANN) was employed to identify the sensitive parameters. Finally, a genetic algorithm (GA) was used to calibrate the parameter thresholds of the sub-catchment units in different urban land-use zones within the flood model. The results demonstrate that the parameter optimization method based on K-means-ANN-GA achieved an average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) of 0.81. Compared to the ANN-GA and K-means-deep neural networks (DNN) methods, the proposed method better characterizes the runoff generation and flow processes. This study demonstrates the significant potential of combining machine learning techniques with physical knowledge in parameter optimization research for flood models.
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